![]() If Kennedy takes disproportionately from either Biden or Trump, it could tip the balance of the election. The same is true in swing states like Pennsylvania, where Biden and Trump are within the margin of error of each other. Still, even if he ends up with the same level of support as Johnson, it could make a big difference.Īt the moment, Biden and Trump are close in the national polls. We obviously don’t know if or how much Kennedy’s polling might change between now and the election. Independent John Anderson was often polling in the 20s in national surveys of the 1980 election, before getting less than 7% that November. At one point in the 1992 campaign, independent Perot led both major-party nominees he ultimately ended up a distant third. Johnson ended up getting a mere 3% come Election Day.Īnd he isn’t alone. He averaged 8% of the vote in those polls and frequently registered in the double digits. The former New Mexico governor polled at 4% or above in every national poll before September 2020 that met CNN’s standards for publication. We can see this, again, by using the Johnson example from 2016. Non-major-party candidates almost always fade down the stretch. Now, the chance of Kennedy garnering 14% of the vote next November is not high. Indeed, I can’t find any instance of an eventual third-party or independent candidate getting to 14% in a national poll since Ross Perot in the 1996 cycle. Johnson, though, appears to never have hit 14% in any poll when matched up against Clinton and Trump. Like this cycle, the two major party nominees in 2016 (Democrat Hillary Clinton and Trump) were unpopular. Consider Gary Johnson, the 2016 Libertarian nominee for president. The group that won Trump the election in 2016 may win it for him again in 2024īut from a historical perspective, the 14% for Kennedy is quite unusual. The 2-point difference between Biden and Trump looks a lot like other surveys we’ve seen and is well within the margin of error.įormer President Donald Trump, left, and President Joe Biden. The polling on an independent run by Kennedy is limited, but the data we do have suggests he would start out as one of the strongest third-party or independent candidates this century.Ī Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted this past week among likely voters finds former President Donald Trump at 40%, Biden at 38% and Kennedy at 14% in a hypothetical November 2024 matchup. The move would come after Kennedy’s calls for a debate with President Joe Biden went nowhere and with Biden continuing to hold a 50-point advantage in primary polling.īut while Kennedy’s bid for the Democratic nomination was largely inconsequential, he could play a big role as an independent candidate in determining the winner of the general election. is expected to announce Monday that he is dropping out of the Democratic presidential primary and will run as an independent. The page that opens contains your browser's history.Robert F.In the lower-left corner of the browser window, tap and hold the back arrow.On your device, open the Safari Internet browser.Users running Safari for iOS on their iPhone or iPad can view their history with the following steps. The page that opens contains your device's history.In the drop-down menu, select History and shown in the image.In the upper-right corner of the screen, tap the icon.Open the Google Chrome Internet browser.Users running Google Chrome on their Android phone or tablet can view their history with the following steps. In the following screenshot, browsing history is being viewed in Google Chrome.Īndroid phone or tablet running Google Chrome When one of these keyboard shortcuts is pressed, a history section similar to the example below should appear. If you are using Windows, Linux, or macOS, a quick keyboard shortcut lets you view your history. Android phone or tablet running Google Chrome.
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